Survey shows ruling party continues its lead in election poll

Mateusz Marek/PAP

Law and Justice would receive 39.2 percent of votes cast if elections were held next Sunday and the main oppositionist Civic Coalition could count on 25.4 percent, according to the latest survey by Estymator for the Do Rzeczy portal.

Law and Justice and the United Right were chosen by 39.2 percent, 0.4 percentage points less than in the previous survey. The PiS result would translate into 222 seats in the Sejm (lower house), which is 13 less seats than in the 2019 elections.

Support for the main oppositionist Civic Coalition was declared by 25.4 percent, up 0.3 percentage points. The Civic Coalition could count on a 129-person representation in the Sejm, five seats less than in the last elections.

Poland 2050 would take 10.9 percent of the vote which would translate into 48 seats.

The Left would be voted for by 8.3 percent of the respondents, giving them 26 seats, which is 23 less than in the 2019 elections.

The hard-right Confederation would also take 20 seats in the Sejm, with 7.4 percent declaring their support. This means that Confederation would increase their current number of seats by nine.

The Sejm would also include the agrarian Polish People's Party - Coalition with 6.1 percent support. The agrarians recorded a decline of 0.2 percentage points from the previous survey. The survey result would mean 14 seats for the group, 16 less than it obtained in 2019.

Having not reached the 5 percent threshold (1.8 percent support) Kukiz'15 would remain with no seats in parliament.

The estimated turnout for the Sunday-held election would be 59 percent.

The survey was conducted on March 30-31 on a representative sample of 1,031 adults using the CATI computer-assisted telephone interview method.