Ruling party support stands below working majority level - poll
With 33-percent public support, Poland's ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party would win an election but not have enough seats to govern outright, a new poll has shown.
The research by United Surveys for the Dziennik Gazeta Prawna (DGP) daily and RMF FM private radio station put the main opposition grouping, Civic Coalition (KO), on 26 percent of the vote and the grassroots Polska 2050 movement run by TV celebrity Szymon Holownia on 11 percent.
Three other parties would also pass the 5-percent threshold needed to enter the Sejm, the lower house of parliament: the pro-agrarian Polish People's Party (PSL), The Left and the far-right Confederation, each with about 6-percent backing.
"PiS would win but not rule - that's the result in short of the latest poll by United Surveys for DGP and RMF FM," GDP wrote, adding that the results are best viewed not in terms of percentage support but in the number of seats each party would win.
The paper reported that PiS would get 200 parliamentary seats, KO 153 and Polska 2050 50 with the three remaining parties securing between 18 and 21 seats each.
"PiS has no certainty of independent government," the paper continued. "Moreover - it has a problem creating a governing coalition," as it would have to reach an agreement with at least two other parties.
The poll also showed that 50 percent of respondents would vote in parliamentary elections if they had been held on Sunday, January 30.
DGP wrote that PiS's support had been hit by the coming into force of the government's hallmark Polish Deal programme and bad voter sentiment stemming from rising inflation and the pandemic situation.
United Surveys ran the poll on January 27 on a national sample of 1,000 adult residents of Poland using the Computer-Assisted Telephone Interview (CATI) method.