Ruling coalition holds clear lead in election poll

Poland's governing coalition, the conservative United Right, would outstrip its opponents with 38.4 percent support against 22.2 percent received by its closest contender if parliamentary elections were held just now, a poll has shown.

In a survey ran by Estymator for the right-wing website, the United Right would be followed by Poland 2050, a conservative grassroots movement led by TV personality and Catholic writer Szymon Hołownia, on 22.2 percent.

The biggest opposition party in parliament, the centrist Civic Platform, could count on 14.6 percent of the vote.

The Left would be backed by 10.8 percent of voters and the far-right Confederation would get 7.1 percent.

The agrarian Polish People's Party, which is now in parliament, would not cross the parliamentary threshold of 5 percent as its support was only 4.7 percent.

According to the survey, the United Right would get 215 mandates in the 460-member lower house, Poland 2050 would win 113 seats, the Civic Coalition - 67, the Left - 43 and Confederation - 21.

Despite the support, the United Right would not be able to form a government on its own as it would be 16 mandates short of a parliamentary majority.

Estymator carried out the survey on a representative sample of 1,022 Poles on May 20-21, 2021.