Duda wins first round of election, anything possible in second - poll

Jakub Kaczmarczyk/PAP

Incumbent President Andrzej Duda is assured of winning the first round of the presidential election but in the second round he leads Rafal Trzaskowski by only 1 percentage point and anything is possible, shows an IBRIS survey for the Rzeczpospolita daily.

Friday's edition of the Rzeczpospolita newspaper reports that the latest survey of support for presidential candidates does not show any major changes among the leaders.

The poll shows that President Andrzej Duda, who is supported by the ruling United Right camp, has slightly more than 40 percent of the votes (41.1 pct) and that Rafal Trzaskowski from the Civic Coalition, who is in second place, does not exceed 30 percent (26.4 pct). Szymon Holownia, an independent candidate, is in third place with a result of 9.7 percent.

The following places in the poll were taken by: Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz, leader of the pro-agrarian Polish People's Party (PSL) (5.4 pct); Robert Biedron, Left (Lewica) candidate, (4.9 pct); and Krzysztof Biedron, from the far-right Confederation (Konfederacja), (4.6 pct).

According to the IBRIS survey, the predicted voter turnout will be "considerable," as almost 61 percent of the respondents plan to take part in the election.

In addition, the poll shows that if Duda and Trzaskowski were to meet in the second round of the election, the incumbent president would receive 48.7 percent of the votes and Trzaskowski would collect 47.5 percent. Also, 3.8 percent of those polled said they did not know who they wanted to vote for.

The daily noted that the survey was carried out on Wednesday, June 24, which means that any changes in preferences resulting from Andrzej Duda's visit to the US were not reflected in it.

IBRIS ran the survey on June 24, on a nationwide representative sample of 1,100 Poles, using the computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) method.